Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.047299e-04 0.000121 0.000139 0.000158 0.000180 0.000202 0.000227
2025-03-23 7.829208e-05 0.000103 0.000130 0.000163 0.000200 0.000241 0.000289
2025-03-30 6.263390e-05 0.000091 0.000124 0.000166 0.000216 0.000272 0.000340
2025-04-06 4.795631e-05 0.000077 0.000114 0.000162 0.000220 0.000289 0.000373
2025-04-13 3.580251e-05 0.000065 0.000103 0.000154 0.000220 0.000298 0.000396
2025-04-20 2.817077e-05 0.000057 0.000096 0.000152 0.000225 0.000313 0.000426
2025-04-27 2.229289e-05 0.000050 0.000091 0.000150 0.000230 0.000328 0.000455
2025-05-04 1.712876e-05 0.000044 0.000085 0.000147 0.000232 0.000339 0.000479
2025-05-11 1.452899e-05 0.000041 0.000084 0.000150 0.000243 0.000361 0.000517
2025-05-18 1.152472e-05 0.000037 0.000080 0.000150 0.000248 0.000375 0.000545
2025-05-25 9.233381e-06 0.000034 0.000078 0.000150 0.000254 0.000391 0.000575
2025-06-01 8.668319e-06 0.000034 0.000081 0.000159 0.000273 0.000422 0.000625
2025-06-08 7.169375e-06 0.000032 0.000080 0.000162 0.000283 0.000443 0.000662
2025-06-15 6.117273e-06 0.000031 0.000080 0.000167 0.000296 0.000468 0.000705
2025-06-22 5.081466e-06 0.000029 0.000080 0.000170 0.000307 0.000491 0.000745
2025-06-29 3.449803e-06 0.000025 0.000075 0.000165 0.000306 0.000497 0.000764
2025-07-06 2.031240e-06 0.000021 0.000068 0.000158 0.000300 0.000497 0.000774
2025-07-13 1.294989e-06 0.000018 0.000064 0.000156 0.000302 0.000507 0.000797
2025-07-20 7.861764e-07 0.000016 0.000062 0.000154 0.000305 0.000518 0.000821
2025-07-27 3.915148e-07 0.000014 0.000058 0.000150 0.000304 0.000524 0.000840
2025-08-03 2.645108e-07 0.000013 0.000058 0.000154 0.000315 0.000546 0.000879
2025-08-10 1.189300e-07 0.000012 0.000056 0.000153 0.000319 0.000559 0.000906
2025-08-17 4.503039e-08 0.000011 0.000054 0.000154 0.000324 0.000573 0.000935